2013 Paul Ryan Hopes To Still Have A Government Job

[ijwthstd]

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/ ... TE=DEFAULT

GOP'S RYAN TO GO UP WITH TV ADS _ FOR HOUSE SEAT
BY BRIAN BAKST
ASSOCIATED PRESS



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HUDSON, Wis. (AP) -- Republican vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan plans to begin airing ads in Wisconsin as he asks voters to elect him to an eighth House term that he hopes to never serve.

Contracts formalized Tuesday with at least one Milwaukee television station show that Ryan's congressional ads will start airing Wednesday morning and go initially for two weeks. The Ryan congressional ads start in the same week as presidential ticket mate Mitt Romney's commercials went on air in Wisconsin, although the cost for the two sets of ads are drawn from different campaign accounts.

Wisconsin law allows Ryan to seek both offices simultaneously but only serve in one if he wins the pair. His Democratic opponent in the state's 1st District is Rob Zerban, a former county official.

Ryan's congressional campaign manager Kevin Seifert confirmed that ads defending the seat will run in the Milwaukee and Madison markets. He said Ryan expects to run House ads through the Nov. 6 election. They will be paid for with a Ryan campaign fund that brimmed with more than $5.4 million as of late July.

Officials previously said Ryan filmed a collection of ads before he was named Romney's running mate in early August. Seifert said the first focuses on "the importance of electing leaders who are capable of advancing solutions that get America back on track and provide a prosperous future for our children and grandchildren."

Ryan represents an area that has typically supported Democrats for president but sent him to Washington by wide margins.

[DEATH ROW JOE]

"I swear to God, everything we have been saying for months, and I know a lot of the audience doesn't want to hear this, this is the worst campaign in my lifetime," Democratic pollster Pat Caddell said on the Monday edition of FOX News' "Campaign Insiders" web show. "A challenging campaign, with a chance to win. They have set themselves on a course that says, 'We don't have to do anything, we're going to win because they don't like the other guy.'"

"Obama's fighting for his life, his party is fighting for their life, and they're winning. This is, I've said all along, this is Romney's election to lose and by God he's losing," Caddell said.

"That 50% approval rating -- if the president is at 50% approval, it is hundreds of millions of dollars raised and spent by Republican and conservative consultants and organizations have failed. They have failed because they have no real credibility as a message. If he's at 50%, somebody needs to sit down and rethink," Caddell said.

"Republicans have no response mechanism. Hundreds of millions of dollars, they're still not on the air explaining to people that with the labor participation rate, if it was the same as he came into office the unemployment would be 11.2%. There is a missing case and I watched Romeney yesterday, I watched Romney yesterday, I swear to God, there is no urgency to this man. He is running, as I said this morning, bored," Caddell observed.

"And the fact of the matter is, we're heading for a major crisis. You see it coming, 'Here are the three or four things that I'm going to do, we must make a change.' He has no message other than 'i'd like to win and by the way I have a secret formula.' He may still win with his, but not if Obama's at 50% approval," he added.

"They're strategists from the beginning have decided -- I just, you know can't say enough bad things about them. They are incompetent, that believe that you can sit and election will automatically come to you. And that they don't respond. They never sold Romney with the message that we talked about for months and I'm sorry to the audience out there. It's not the American people are stupid, your candidate is stupid," Caddell said. "They never gave his message of who he is."

update:Wednesday, September 12
General Election: Romney vs. Obama Gallup Obama 50, Romney 43 Obama +7
President Obama Job Approval Gallup Approve 51, Disapprove 42 Approve +9
President Obama Job Approval Rasmussen Reports Approve 51, Disapprove 48 Approve +3

[brotherplanet]

I disagree. I think the McCain/Palin campaign was much worse.

[Turner Coates]

Sounds like Ryan has a lot of faith in the ticket.....NOT!

[DEATH ROW JOE]

I disagree. I think the McCain/Palin campaign was much worse.

What wonderful analysis. Actually, from Sept 3 to Sept 12, McCain went from 5.8 points down to 2.3 points up. During the same period, Romney went from even to 3.6 points down.

So you are wrong as usual

9/12/2008 Obama 45.1 McCain 47.4
9/03/2008 Obama 48.8 McCain 43.0

9/12/2012 Obama 49.0 Romney 45.4
9/03/2012 Obama 46.4 Romney 46.4
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... today.html

[ijwthstd]

I disagree. I think the McCain/Palin campaign was much worse.

They made some blunders for sure but you have to go all the way back to Thomas Dewey in 1948 to find one so shallow and completely lacking in substance. And there's your precedent for an unpopular incumbent being re-elected.