Budget Hero

[tylamonroe]

Okay, this is fun. Yes, it is biased but like I said, FUN!

In the spirit of the early SIM CITY games, take a crack at fixing the fucking mess that makes me happy I never married and brought a kid into this fiscal fucking nightmare.

You have to paste the link below. I can't get it to link right.

http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2012/10/2 ... um=twitter

[DEATH ROW JOE]

In one post you are whining about a "fiscal fucking nightmare", in another you are whining about budget cuts killing jobs. You're a loser and an imbecile.

And now a word from WI...
But don't worry. Joe will be able to spin it and not say anything stupid.

Wisconsin company announces layoffs ahead of Biden arrival

October 25, 2012 | 6:43 pm
74Comments





Alan Blinder

Staff Reporter, D.C. City Hall
The Washington Examiner
E@alanblinderDAlan on FB


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OSHKOSH, Wis. - Bad news will greet Vice President Joe Biden when he arrives in Wisconsin Thursday night. Hours earlier, Oshkosh's largest employer announced that it will lay off 450 employees in January.

Oshkosh Corp., a truck manufacturer with Pentagon contracts, blamed the "difficult decisions" on looming cuts to the nation's defense budget.

"As Oshkosh and others in the defense industry have discussed on numerous occasions, domestic military vehicle production volumes will decline significantly in 2013 due to the reduction in U.S. defense budgets and the fact that military spending is returning to peacetime levels," the company said in a statement. "Unfortunately, these economic factors require Oshkosh to rebalance its defense production workforce starting in January 2013."

The company said the layoffs were not tied to the looming budget cuts set to take effect in January. And it will still have about 3,500 employees in its Oshkosh-based defense division after the job cuts.

The news came hours ahead of Biden's campaign appearance in the city on Friday morning. President Obama carried Winnebago County in 2008, but area Republicans said they believe Mitt Romney will be competitive here on Election Day.

Statewide tracking polls show that while Obama's lead has slipped, he maintains a slight advantage over Romney in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin
FiveThirtyEight Projections Dem Rep Margin
Polling average 49.9 45.7 Obama +4.2
Adjusted polling average 49.4 46.0 Obama +3.4
State fundamentals 50.2 43.7 Obama +6.5
Now-cast 49.5 45.7 Obama +3.8
Projected vote share ±3.7 51.6 47.7 Obama +3.9
Chance of winning Obama 85% Romney 15%

Polls 538 WT. Date Dem Rep Margin
PPP 10/24 51.0 45.0 Obama +6.0
Angus Reid 10/20 48.0 43.0 Obama +5.0
Grove 10/18 47.0 44.0 Obama +3.0
Rasmussen 10/18 50.0 48.0 Obama +2.0
Mason-Dixon 10/17 48.0 46.0 Obama +2.0
NBC/Marist 10/17 51.0 45.0 Obama +6.0
Pulse Opinion Research 10/15 50.0 47.0 Obama +3.0
Marquette U. 10/14 49.0 48.0 Obama +1.0
YouGov 10/11 51.0 47.0 Obama +4.0
Rasmussen 10/9 51.0 49.0 Obama +2.0
The New York Times/Quinnipiac 10/9 50.0 47.0 Obama +3.0
Pulse Opinion Research 10/8 50.0 46.0 Obama +4.0
PPP 10/6 49.0 47.0 Obama +2.0
Pulse Opinion Research 10/1 51.0 44.0 Obama +7.0
Marquette U. 9/30 53.0 42.0 Obama +11.0

[tylamonroe]

Thanks Joey. You're a kind and reasonable little girl. I'm sure you will consider all options and make a measured and well informed decision in November.

Now shouldn't you get back to calling 13 year old girls cunts? Chop chop, Jennifer, you've got a country to save!

[HerveVillechaizeLounge]

Thanks Joey. You're a kind and reasonable little girl. I'm sure you will consider all options and make a measured and well informed decision in November.

Now shouldn't you get back to calling 13 year old girls cunts? Chop chop, Jennifer, you've got a country to save!

Gotta love those biased FiveThirtyEight projections. They take battleground states like PA and automatically give them to Obama. Keep dreaming Joey.

[DEATH ROW JOE]

Now shouldn't you get back to calling 13 year old girls cunts?

OK. You cunt. Happy now? BTW, she was called a dumb lying cunt.

Gotta love those biased FiveThirtyEight projections. They take battleground states like PA and automatically give them to Obama. Keep dreaming Joey.

As usual, you are completely misinformed.

Nate Silver has not "given" Pennsylvania to Obama. He gives Obama a 94% chance of winning Pennyslvania. His polling average has Obama +4.9% and his adjusted polling average has Obama +4.7%. The RCP average currently has Obama +4.8%.

Pennsylvania
FiveThirtyEight Projections Dem Rep Margin
Polling average 49.0 44.2 Obama +4.8
Adjusted polling average 49.1 44.4 Obama +4.7
State fundamentals 50.3 43.8 Obama +6.5
Now-cast 49.2 44.3 Obama +4.9
Projected vote share ±3.3 51.9 47.0 Obama +4.9
Chance of winning Obama 94% Romney 6%


RCP Average 10/12 - 10/24 -- -- 50.0 45.2 Obama +4.8
Rasmussen Reports 10/24 - 10/24 500 LV 4.5 51 46 Obama +5
Gravis Marketing 10/21 - 10/21 887 LV 3.3 48 45 Obama +3
Morning Call 10/17 - 10/21 444 LV 5.0 50 45 Obama +5
Quinnipiac 10/12 - 10/14 1519 LV 2.5 50 46 Obama +4
PPP (D) 10/12 - 10/14 500 LV 4.4 51 44 Obama +7

The prediction markets support Nate Silver's forecast.

PredictWise gives Obama a 92% chance to win PA.
http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2012presidentstates

[tylamonroe]

Thanks Joey. You're a kind and reasonable little girl. I'm sure you will consider all options and make a measured and well informed decision in November.

Now shouldn't you get back to calling 13 year old girls cunts? Chop chop, Jennifer, you've got a country to save!

Gotta love those biased FiveThirtyEight projections. They take battleground states like PA and automatically give them to Obama. Keep dreaming Joey.

Even I give Obama PA , but what guys like Joey miss is the fact that the shift in Romney's favorability is now, amazingly higher than Obamas. Undecided voters historicaly break overwelmingly against the president and there are plenty of them out there.

MOST of all these polls are assuming turnout that looks just like it did in 2008 when Obama was a Rock Star and the historic first non white president. Who really believes that will happen again?

We should probably get Joey measured for a straight jacket. Something classy that matches his cheerleader skirt, but doesn't make him look like a slut.

[DEATH ROW JOE]

Even I give Obama PA , but what guys like Joey miss is the fact that the shift in Romney's favorability is now, amazingly higher than Obamas. Undecided voters historicaly break overwelmingly against the president and there are plenty of them out there.

MOST of all these polls are assuming turnout that looks just like it did in 2008 when Obama was a Rock Star and the historic first non white president. Who really believes that will happen again?

LMFAO, you're such a stereotypical simpleton. Simpletons typically believe they see something others do not see.

The polls are not assuming a turnout that looks just like 2008. You were told that on Fox News and you are repeating it mindlessly.

Obama currently has a higher favorability rating than Romney. So you are incorrect to claim Romney's favorability rating is "amazingly higher."

Monday, October 22
Obama: Favorable/Unfavorable ABC News/Wash Post Favorable 52, Unfavorable 46 Favorable +6
Obama: Favorable/Unfavorable CBS News Favorable 47, Unfavorable 42 Favorable +5

Romney: Favorable/Unfavorable ABC News/Wash Post Favorable 50, Unfavorable 47 Favorable +3
Romney: Favorable/Unfavorable CBS News Favorable 43, Unfavorable 40 Favorable +3

[tylamonroe]

Even I give Obama PA , but what guys like Joey miss is the fact that the shift in Romney's favorability is now, amazingly higher than Obamas. Undecided voters historicaly break overwelmingly against the president and there are plenty of them out there.

MOST of all these polls are assuming turnout that looks just like it did in 2008 when Obama was a Rock Star and the historic first non white president. Who really believes that will happen again?

LMFAO, you're such a stereotypical simpleton. Simpletons typically believe they see something others do not see.

The polls are not assuming a turnout that looks just like 2008. You were told that on Fox News and you are repeating it mindlessly.

Obama currently has a higher favorability rating than Romney. So you are incorrect to claim Romney's favorability rating is "amazingly higher."

Monday, October 22
Obama: Favorable/Unfavorable ABC News/Wash Post Favorable 52, Unfavorable 46 Favorable +6
Obama: Favorable/Unfavorable CBS News Favorable 47, Unfavorable 42 Favorable +5

Romney: Favorable/Unfavorable ABC News/Wash Post Favorable 50, Unfavorable 47 Favorable +3
Romney: Favorable/Unfavorable CBS News Favorable 43, Unfavorable 40 Favorable +3

So you are done with RCP now, huh?

Do you read the methodology of any that shit you cut and paste from, champ? They are almost all using 2004, 2008, or a mix of the two to determine turnout. Are you really gonna try to make a case that the base is anywhere near that excited this time around? Really?

Just cuz I don't throw stats around like they matter doesn't mean I can't read them. Love the Fox rib. Never heard that before.

At least you left out the Faux joke. God damn that one kills everytime.