Which polls were most accurate in 2008?

Post your thoughts and comments on terrorism, war, and political shit like that.

Moderator: Metal Sludge

Post Reply
User avatar
FullMetalWhackit
Playing Decent Clubs in a Bus
Posts: 1549
Joined: Fri Jan 27, 2012 7:41 pm

Which polls were most accurate in 2008?

Post by FullMetalWhackit »

With all the polling info about to come out in the next few weeks here is an interesting look back from a study out of Fordham University at which polls were correct and which were not leading up to the 2008 election:

http://blog.chron.com/txpotomac/2008/11 ... -accurate/
Image

Image
User avatar
DEATH ROW JOE
Signed to a Major Label Multi-Album Deal
Posts: 20480
Joined: Sat Sep 19, 2009 11:51 pm

Re: Which polls were most accurate in 2008?

Post by DEATH ROW JOE »

It says Pew Research was the most accurate and Gallup ranked #20 with Newsweek dead last. Turns out Gallup and Newsweek were more accurate than Pew Research. Gallup and Newsweek also predicted Obama's share of the popular vote more accurately than Rassmussen.

Actual Results:
Percentage Obama 52.9% McCain 45.7%

Presidential Polls Over Time
http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/presi ... .html#US_6

Pew Research Center: Obama 50% McCain 39%
Gallup Obama 53% McCain 40%
Newsweek Obama 53% McCain 40%

Rassmussen is not listed on that page but they had 52% Obama 46% McCain.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... cking_poll


Currently Rassmussen shows Obama +3

Obama 48 Romney 45

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows President Obama attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 45% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
User avatar
FullMetalWhackit
Playing Decent Clubs in a Bus
Posts: 1549
Joined: Fri Jan 27, 2012 7:41 pm

Re: Which polls were most accurate in 2008?

Post by FullMetalWhackit »

Rasmussen being most accurate.
Image

Image
User avatar
Mazerati
Playing a Package Tour in Arenas
Posts: 13136
Joined: Wed Jul 23, 2008 3:25 am

Re: Which polls were most accurate in 2008?

Post by Mazerati »

no polls are accurate in this election..as soon as somebody says they like Romney people think your racist so i'm sure a lot people are telling the polls they are voting for Obama when they are really voting for Romney
Post Reply