The List: Which presidential polls were most accurate?
http://blog.chron.com/txpotomac/2008/11 ... -accurate/
The Pew Research Center and Rasmussen Reports were the most accurate in predicting the results of the 2008 election, according to a new analysis by Fordham University political scientist Costas Panagopoulos.
Here is the list –
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
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The Pew Research Center Poll:
http://www.people-press.org/files/legac ... elease.pdf
Obama Ahead with Stronger Support, Better Image and Lead on Most Issues
At this stage in the campaign, Barack Obama is
in a strong position compared with past
victorious presidential candidates. With an
eight-point lead over Mitt Romney among
likely voters, Obama holds a bigger September
lead than the last three candidates who went
on to win in November, including Obama four
years ago. In elections since 1988, only Bill
Clinton, in 1992 and 1996, entered the fall with
a larger advantage.
Obama vs. Romney on Traits and Issues
Traits:
Which candidate …
Connects well with ordinary Americans 66 23 O+43
Takes consistent positions on issues 50 34 O+16
Willing to take unpopular stand 52 37 O+15
Good judgment in a crisis 51 37 O+14
Honest and truthful 48 34 O+14
A strong leader 51 38 O+13
Shares my values 50 40 O+10
Can get things done 45 41 O+4
Issues:
Who would do best job of …
Making wise decisions on foreign policy 53 38 O+15
Dealing with health care 52 39 O+13
Dealing with Medicare 51 38 O+13
Representing your views on abortion 48 35 O+13
Dealing with problems in the Middle East 50 39 O+11
Dealing with taxes 48 42 O+6
Improving the job situation 46 45 O+1
Reducing the federal budget deficit 43 46 R+3
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