Metal Sludge Gossip Board

Will Third Debate Change the Electoral Math?
Romney cleared commander-in-chief threshold, but he still has a harder path to 270.
http://www.nationaljournal.com/columns/ ... --20121023
But if the national polls are looking even, that doesn’t mean that the election is an even-money contest. Although this race is very close, the road to 270 electoral votes is considerably more difficult for Romney than it is for Obama. The president starts off with undisputed leads in 16 states and the District of Columbia with 237 electoral votes, 33 short of the 270 needed to win. Romney begins with equally clear leads in 23 states with 191 electoral votes, 79 short of a victory. Nine states with 110 electoral votes are in the admittedly broad Toss-Up column (Colorado, Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin). Obama needs to win 30 percent of those Toss-Up electoral votes; Romney needs 72 percent of those votes.

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Colorado (9) RCP Average = Tie
Florida (29) RCP Average = Romney +1.8
Iowa (6) RCP Average = Obama +2.3
New Hampshire (4) RCP Average = Obama +1.1
Nevada (6) Average = Obama +2.5
North Carolina (15) RCP Average = Romney +3.8
Ohio (18) RCP Average = Obama +2.3
Virginia (13) RCP Average = Romney +1.2
Wisconsin (10) RCP Average = Obama +2.3

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Colorado (9) Likelihood of Obama Victory = 50.3 %
Florida (29) Likelihood of Obama Victory = 23.6 %
Iowa (6) Likelihood of Obama Victory = 71.9 %
New Hampshire (4) Likelihood of Obama Victory =60.1 %
Nevada (6) Likelihood of Obama Victory = 84.2 %
North Carolina (15) Likelihood of Obama Victory = 11.4 %
Ohio (18) Likelihood of Obama Victory = 73.4 %
Virginia (13) Likelihood of Obama Victory = 47.1 %
Wisconsin (10) Likelihood of Obama Victory = 82.1 %

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Oct. 24: In Polls, Romney's Momentum Seems to Have Stopped
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.co ... e-stopped/

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GAME OVER

Stoner wrote:Won't it be poetic justice if (when) Romney wins the popular vote and Obama wins the electoral vote?

Stoner wrote:Won't it be poetic justice if (when) Romney wins the popular vote and Obama wins the electoral vote?

That would definitely be poetic justice. Though I'd still like to think that the country is at least 51% smart enough to re-elect the President.

Some top Repukes have said they will work with the President if he's re - elected and they won't have much of a choice for 2 to 3 years until the final year when you're a lame duck but ALL 2nd term presidents deal with that!